“Is China democratizing? The country’s leaders do not think of democracy as people in the West generally do, but they are increasingly backing local elections, judicial independence, and oversight of Chinese Communist Party officials. How far China’s liberalization will ultimately go and what Chinese politics will look like when it stops are open questions.”
One of the factors not oft mentioned is the very real possibility that China splinter into several ‘Chinas’ (this maybe mentioned in the article, but to be honest with you, it was far too long to read right now). This could encourage real democratic reforms.
Steyn has made excellent arguments as how and why this might happen.